(There have been a number of changes to feed-in tariff policy across the Australian states–most notably that the NSW Solar Bonus scheme has been suspended. Please see our feed-in tariff page to see what solar incentives are on offer in your state!)
You may be wondering, if I install a 1.5kW solar PV system, how much energy will I be feeding back to the grid? This is an important question, especially if your state has a net feed-in tariff. The answer depends on two things – how much energy you produce, and how much you consume.
(Get a free comparison of solar quotes from the installers who operate in your area, anywhere in Australia!)
A previous article on this site looked at the first part of that answer, how much energy your solar cells will produce. Here we learnt that the amount of energy a 1kW system produces varies depending on where it is located in Australia.
The last two articles in this series have explored the second part of that answer; how much energy you consume in your home (How do I use electricity throughout the day “ the load curve and How to save energy in your home). They told us what we use our energy on, when we use it, what uses most of it and also some hints on how to use less. Here we also learnt that the amount of energy the typical home consumes varies depending on where it is located in Australia.
In this article, we stitch those two parts together to find the answer to the question of how much a typical home in Sydney will export to the grid.
Consumption versus generation in Summer
The graph below shows three curves for an average Summer day in Sydney:
1) How much electricity the typical household would consume (the red line)
2) How much electricity a 1.5kW grid connected solar PV system will generate (the solid green line)
3) How much electricity a 3kW grid connected solar PV system will generate (the dashed green line)
How to interpret this graph
The graph below shows the amount of power being used by an average home, and generated by an average solar PV system at any point in time during an average summer’s day. If the green generation line is higher at any point then the red consumption line, you are generating a surplus of power, and hence feeding that electricity back into the grid. When the green generation line is below the red consumption line you’re still generating, but not enough to meet your households demand, so you will be buying electricity as per normal to make up the difference.
In the discussion below you may get confused by the nomenclature of kW and kWh. They are not the same thing, one is power and one is energy. For an explanation of this please refer to the article; Physics 101 – What’s the difference between power and energy?
Average NSW household in Summer – electricity consumption versus generation
The average production of a solar PV system in Sydney has been calculated using the online performance calculator for a grid connected system; PVwatts. The attentive eye will notice that a 1.5kW system is only producing just a touch over 1kW of power at it’s peak. This is not an error. The average PV system will export only around 75% of it’s rated power to the grid at it’s peak generation due to the variety of losses associated with cleaning, inverting and transforming power from the solar cells to a usable form.
The home electricity consumption curve has been calculated from grid wide electricity consumption data for NSW from the Australian Electricity Market Operator (AEMO).
A 1.5kW system
In the above graph we can see that a 1.5kW system will produce just enough power to very slightly surpass the average household’s demand at 1pm, when the sun is at it’s peak. The rest of the time, the average household uses more than the solar PV cells can produce. In total, the 1.5kW system produces 7.3kWh of energy, compared to total consumption throughout the day of 20.5kWh for the house (for the technically minded, the amount of energy produced is the area under the curve, because energy is the integral of power).
Hence, in this situation virtually no power is exported or fed into the grid by your PV system (except for a negligible amount at 1pm) as it is all consumed by your home. This will save the money that you would otherwise have paid for electricity.
In a state (such as Victoria) with a net with a net feed-in tariff in place (where you are paid only for the SURPLUS electricity you export to the grid) you would have no feed-in tariff income. You would still, however, be saving the $1.14 in electricity you would otherwise have had to pay for. Although both the average consumption and generation curves for Victoria will be slightly different then depicted in this graph, this is more or less a representative example.
(NSW formerly offered a gross feed-in tariff. With a 1.5kW system you would get 7.3kWh x 60c/kWh = $4.38 in feed-in tariff income if you signed up before 27 Oct 2010. Unfortunately, no tariff is on offer for those who sign up since the scheme ended, and no guarantees will be made until April 2012. However, there are still compelling reasons to get a solar system in NSW!)
A 3kW system
The dashed green line shows the electricity generation of a 3kW grid connected solar system. As you can see, this is above the red line for the majority of daylight hours, meaning you will be exporting a good amount of energy to the grid.
In total, the 3kW system produces 14.5kWh of energy, compared to total consumption throughout the day of 20.5kWh for the house. But because it is often producing more at any given time then the household can consume the 3kW system exports a total of 6.02kWh of energy to the grid.
The rate you are paid for your surplus electricity fed into the grid will depend on which state you live in. (Read about state-by-state feed-in tariffs.)
As a representative example, if this system was in Victoria where a a net feed-in tariff is in place, you would earn:
6.02kWh x 60c/kWh = $3.61 in feed-in tariff income (6.02kWh is the net (surplus) amount of solar energy generated and exported to the grid)
as well as save:
8.5kWh x 15.6c/kWh = $1.32 in electricity you would otherwise have to pay for.
Giving a total benefit of $4.93.
(Under NSW’s now defunct gross feed-in tariff scheme, with a 3kW solar system you would have brought you a total benefit of 14.5kWh x 60c/kWh = $8.70 in feed-in tariff income. 14.5kWh is the gross amount of solar energy generated.)
Consumption versus generation in Winter
In winter, the expected solar PV average generation curve is slightly lower then in summer, reflecting the lower intensity of the sun. Note that on a cloudy day generation will be much lower then depicted. In Sydney, where the sun shines almost perenially, this is not such a problem. Melbournians, however, are less lucky! In this graph average household electricity consumption is represented by a blue line. For a discussion as to why it takes this shape, please refer to the article How do I use electricity throughout the day “ the load curve.
Average NSW household in Winter – electricity consumption versus generation
A 1.5kW system
In the above graph we can see that a 1.5kW system will never fully meet an average household’s demand. In total, the 1.5kW system produces 5.3kWh of energy, compared to total consumption throughout the day of 26.7kWh for the house.
Hence, in this situation no power is exported or fed into the grid by your PV system as it is all consumed by your home. In NSW, where a gross feed-in tariff is in place (where you are paid for ALL the solar energy you generate) you would earn:
5.3kWh x 60c/kWh = $3.18 in feed-in tariff income
as well as save:
5.3kWh x 15.6c/kWh = $0.83 in electricity you would otherwise have to pay for
Hence, in NSW a 1.5KW system for an average household on a Winter day has a total benefit to you of $4.01.
In a state like Victoria, however, where a net feed-in tariff is in place (where you are paid only for the SURPLUS electricity you export to the grid) you would have no feed-in tariff income. You would still, however, be saving the $0.83 in electricity you would otherwise have had to pay for. Although both the average consumption and generation curves for Victoria will be quiet different in winter due to the prevalence of gas heating, this is an illustrative example.
A 3kW system
The dashed green line shows the electricity generation of a 3kW grid connected solar system. As you can see, this is above the blue line for the majority of daylight hours, meaning you will be exporting a good amount of energy to the grid.
In total, the 3kW system produces 10.5kWh of energy, compared to total consumption throughout the day of 26.7kWh for the house. But because it is often producing more at any given time then the household can consume the 3kW system exports a total of 4.02kWh of energy to the grid.
In NSW, where a gross feed-in tariff is in place you would earn:
10.5kWh x 60c/kWh = $6.30 in feed-in tariff income (10.5kWh is the gross amount of solar energy generated)
as well as save:
6.5kWh x 15.6c/kWh = $1.01 in electricity you would otherwise have to pay for (6.5kWh is the amount of generated solar energy your house is consuming)
Hence, in NSW a 3KW system for an average household on a Winter day has a total benfit to you of $7.31.
As a representative example, if this system was in Victoria where a net feed-in tariff is in place, you would earn:
4.02kWh x 60c/kWh = $2.41 in feed-in tariff income (4.02kWh is the net (surpluss) amount of solar energy generated and exported to the grid)
as well as save:
6.5kWh x 15.6c/kWh = $1.01 in electricity you would otherwise have to pay for
Giving a total benefit of $3.42.
How to boost your solar generation above consumption
There are two ways you can boost your generation above consumption, and hence export more energy to the grid.
One way is to first lower your consumption of energy. The previous article, how to save energy in your home, provides some practical hints on how to do this. In particular, for the purposes of the net feed-in tariff it is advantageous to focus your efforts on saving energy during daylight hours when your PV cells will be generating electricity. Another strategy would be to shift when you use appliances, for instance, run the dishwasher at night instead of during the day. Although maximising your solar feed-in tariff, this does not have any positive environmental outcome. Hence, the best action you can take as a environmentally conscious citizen is to try and reduce your energy consumption overall and become more energy efficient. This way you’ll earn more from a net feed-in tariff, pay less in energy bills and use less brown electricity.
The other way to maximise the difference between generation and consumption is to simply install more solar PV generation capacity. This has been demonstrated in the above examples by the observation of the differences between a 1.5kW and 3kW solar PV system. Different states have different capacity limits for installed PV generation (read about the status of feed-in tariff schemes in each state) so make sure you’re within these. If you can’t install a bigger system because you’re near the capacity limit or have run out of available roof space, another way to further maximise your generation is to install a solar tracker.
Kobad Bhavnagri
Solar Energy Consultant
Solar Choice Pty Ltd
© 2010 Solar Choice Pty Ltd








{ 30 comments… read them below or add one }
Hi Kobad,Just wondering if I used 10000 kw of power a year how would I save by installing a 1.5kw solargrid to my house.Thanks Tom
Hi Tom. That all depends on where you live. Different locations get varying amounts of sunshine throughout the year. Also, your energy consumption is measured in kWh, not kW, which indicates capacity. For example, 1.5kW system run for 3 hours in perfect sunshine and at the perfect tilt angle would ideally produce something around 4.5kWh of electricity.
Dear Kobad,
Thank you for the useful article and provided information. I still wonder why in your gross feed-in-tariff you first calculate the income from exported eletricity and then add the expence for the consumed electricity (e.g.
5.3kWh x 60c/kWh = $3.18 in feed-in tariff income
as well as save:
5.3kWh x 15.6c/kWh = $0.83 in electricity you would otherwise have to pay for
Hence, in NSW a 1.5KW system for an average household on a Winter day has a total benefit to you of $4.01.
Aren’t we paying the consumed 5.3kWh x 15.6c/kWh = $0.83 and only getting the 5.3kWh x 60c/kWh = $3.18, which makes the total benefit $3.18-$.83 = $2.35 only and not $4.01?
Regards,
Kosta
I hope the posted explanation to Bruce’s comment makes sense.
I’m in NSW. I don’t understand your line “As well as save $1.14 in electricity you would otherwise have to pay for”.
I understood that I sell all the electricity I generate back to the grid, but I have to pay regular prices for what I use.
This is a method of allowing people to see the ‘real’ return of the system because the life-cycle-costing of the solar panel includes the revenue it creates by generating electricity and the opportunity cost of consuming electricity. Because in this case it is not a cost incurred it is an additional saving and therefore can be added to the revenue to give a more accurate representation of the return on investment.
Admin and Kobad. Please be advised that there is no “off-setting” benefit in the NSW gross metering configuration. I.e. All generation is exported for which the FiT applied. You dont generally consume your own generation. There are several diagrams detailing this availble on the internet.
On average, my home uses 27.9Kwh/day, which means I pay about $3.5 a day. If I install a 3kw system, then how much profit will I get?
Hello Ngoc,
Thanks for the comment. It would depend on your location. You may not get any profit, but you will save money on your electricity bills.
Which city are you in?
Hello, i was just reading ur article and wondered that my house is spending daily kilowatt hours of 29.3, if i were to install a 1.5 kw/h system what will be the effect on my bill, if live in Sydney Australia.
Thanks very much for your inquiry. In response to your question, a conservative estimate of the production of a 1.5kW system is Sydney is approximate 6kW hours per day. Therefore in order to comfortably offset your house’s usage you would require a minimum system size of around 7kW. Alternatively you could implement a smaller system with the intention of simply reducing your electricity costs. You can fill out a quote comparison request form or call us on 1300 78 72 73 for a chat about your options any time!
This is slightly off topic, but I have had a 1.5 KW system installed (in Qld) recently but not yet connected to the grid. What is happening to the electricity being generated? Is it still reducing my consumption during the day?
Hi Russell,
That would depend on how your system is set up, but a likely scenario is that you are using the electricity being generated, and that this is offsetting the cost of your electricity bill. What kind of metering system have you got in place? Also, do you have some kind of solar array monitoring system installed so that you can see how much your solar panels are producing?
Thanks for your prompt response! From reading the Energex blurb, it appears that they have to install the meter so it can be connected to the grid (and that hasn’t happened yet). Insofar as it assists your response, the system installed is 1.48 KW with a 2.8 KW Xantrex inverter and 8×185 watt Sopray panels.
On that note, what would it cost (approx) to add, say, a further 8 panels so I can bump up the energy production?
Cheers
Hi Russel,
Thanks again for the comment. How much it would cost is dependent on how much an installer would charge you for their services, plus the going rate for panels, of course. Please also keep in mind that, depending on the state you live in, your eligibility for any applicable solar feed-in tariff may be altered if you increase the size of your system after initial installation.
If you want to get in touch with one of our brokers (1300 78 72 73) would be happy to have a chat with you about which installers in your area might be able to help you.
Thanks for that – I will give them a call.
Hello
I have a 1.5 kw installed and looking to place a second system of 4kw in place so both system run together what would the cost be for the 4kw complete system please
Hi Peter,
Thanks for your inquiry. One of our brokers will email you shortly, but in the meantime please feel free to fill out a free quote comparison request form or proactively ring us on 1300 78 72 73.
I intend to install a grid connected photovoltaic system( 22 photovoltaic panels each generate an average 0.4 kWh per day) My house energy consumption is 40 kWh/day. I wonder how much energy can be saved for 20years periods if photovoltaic panels are installed.
Hello Hung,
Thanks for the comment. The answer to your question depends on the type of components (especially inverter and panels) that you have installed. Using the numbers you gave me, I can do the simple maths and estimate that over 20 years, your system would generate (0.4kWh x 22 panels x 365 days x 20 years =) 64,240kWh. If you use 40kWh/day, then again, your consumption over 20 years would be (40kWh x 365 days x 20 years =) 292,000kWh. 292,000kWh – 64,240kWh = 227,760kWh of electricity that you have to pay for during the course of twenty years.
Now, please be careful because the numbers are actually much more complicated than this. Depending on the type of solar panels you have, you’ll have to think about gradual efficiency degradation, which is unavoidable (this is the reason panel manufacturers offer stepped warranties of 10 and 25 years, usually.) You’ll also have to think about other imperfections such inverter inefficiency, heat tolerance, and the effects of shading, not to mention the fact that the sun does not always shine when we would like it to. The amount of electricity saved may actually be less than the 64,240kWh quoted above.
Without details about what kind of components you are using, I can’t help you with the details. But if you are still interested, please feel free to get in touch with us directly on 1300 78 72 73, or fill out a free quote comparison request form to see what deals are being offered from installers in your area.
Hope this was helpful.
Hi Kobad,
I live in Perth and have installed a 3KW solar panel system. The system has been operating since 26th June 2011 but unfortunately both Synergy and Western Power true to form were tardy with installing the new two way meter in the first place ( installed 15/7/2011) and then I was advise by Synergy on 4 August 2011 that they failed to programme the new meter so Synergy cannot read the production from the panels. I have been waiting since 4 August 2011 for the meter to be reprogrammed (today is 26/8). They have agreed to compensate us for their ineptitude but I need to have some reasonable basis to charge Synergy for the estimated nergy production. Can you suggest how I could make reasonable assumptions to calculate production from the panels since 26/6 or since 15/7 when the meter was installed. Our winter usage is about 30 units per day. Look forward to your advice. Mel
Hi Mel,
That’s a tricky one, and would depend greatly on when you think you actually use your power, since the WA feed-in tariff scheme is a net one.
As a very, very rough estimate, you could make the assumption that you are producing (avg of 2.8 peak sun hours from June-Present * 3kW =) 8.4kWh per day, although the actual number is probably less than this. Is there any way you can calculate on average how much of this you use at what time of day? This will vary depending on whether people are home during the day or not–does anyone work from home or take care of kids during the day?
Otherwise you could simply assume that you feed half your electricity into the grid and are therefore eligible for (4.2kWh * 44c/kWh =) $1.84/day on the 44c/kWh FiT, or if you are on the 20c/kWh FiT, then (4.2kWh * 20c/kWh =) $0.84/day. Multiply this by the number of days and subtract it from your power bill over the appropriate timeframe.
Seeing as how you haven’t got any other basis for your calculations, it will all be based on your honesty in the end.
Hope you find this helpful. Others, feel free to leave your own suggestions.
Hi. I plan to install a 3kw solar panel system with 300watt panels but not sure how much energy it would generate per day. My house uses about 20kw per day. Would a 3kw system be suitable for me. I’m living in Adelaide. Thanks
Hi Cathy,
In Adelaide you can expect to get about 5.6 sun hour per day on average over the year–more in summer, less in winter. If you have a 3kW system, you can expect (5.6 * 3kW =) 16.8kWh. In the summertime you will generate more than this, however: (7.8 sun hours * 3kW) = 23.4kWh.
Is your plan simply to reduce your electricity bill, or to eliminate your electricity bill completely? A 3kW system would reduce your bill significantly if you time the use of your electricity wisely.
Also keep in mind that South Australia currently offers a Solar Feed-in Tariff rate of about 23c/kWh, net. This means if your system feeds electricity into the grid (i.e. you don’t use the solar electricity when it is generated), you will be credited 23c/kWh on your electricity bill.
Also feel free to fill out the Solar Quote Comparison request form to the right of this page. You will receive a comprehensive comparison of the solar systems on offer from the solar installers available in your area.
In NSW, I plan to install a grid-connected solar PV system. I have extermely variable energy consumption pattern at my house.
What the most commonly installed solar system capacity in our state (1kW, 1.5kW, 2kW, 3kW, 4kW or 5kW)? Pls provide me a link to read more information if available.
Why (I like to go for the most popular one in Aus)?
How much space on roof needed for each system (1kW, 1.5kW, 2kW, 3kW, 4kW and 5kW)? Pls provide me a link to read more information if available.
What is the rough estimated cost for each? Pls provide me a link to read more information if available.
Hi Samitha,
Thank you for your comment. To answer your questions:
1) What size system is best for you depends on your energy consumption. Since the NSW Solar Bonus Feed-in Tariff scheme ended (and was replaced with nothing), Solar Choice has been recommending systems that just cover home energy consumption, as NSW residents who go solar now will receive either nothing or only a nominal rate for each unit of electricity that they export to the grid. Generally speaking, a lot of NSW customers have been opting for 3-5kW systems. We are also witnessing this trend in our customers elsewhere as well.
2) Unfortunately I can’t give you a general answer to this question because the size of each solar panel varies with efficiency. Less efficient panels take up more space, while more efficient panels take up less space on a roof. You also have the option to split panel arrays between roofs, if you have, for example, a shed or granny flat.
3) The price of solar PV systems is coming down globally and across Australia. You can receive a free and instant comparison of solar quotes for 1.5, 2, 3, 4, and 5kW systems by filling out the form to the right of this page. Depending on where you live, the comparison will include up to 8 different installers, and we have more in our network.
I hope you find this helpful.
I have just had talks with an installer and he says i need a 3kw unit which will be enough for me to cover my power bill with some left over. I currently use 25.97kwh per day. he says where i live i have on average 10 sun hrs per day. I live south west victoria. is all this infomation correct. unit price 17k with rebate of 5k, approx cost 12k , is this comparable with other units
Just need to make sure all above board.
Thanks
Hi Paul,
The production numbers you’ve been quoted with are very high. A 3kW system in Melbourne will only produce approximately 12kWh/day on average (more in summer, less in winter). $17k for a 3kW is also an extraordinarily high quote. The price of solar PV systems has been decreasing steadily over the past year, and we are seeing decent quality systems for half that price.
Hello,
I am looking to install a 5kw system in Perth, my average consumption is about 22 units per day, how much electricity would this produce?
And if the system costs 10k is it worth it?
Hi Lucas,
A 5kW system in Perth will produce approximately 20 kilowatt-hours (kWh — electricity units) of electricity per day on average throughout the year. This number will be higher in summer and lower in winter, and ultimately the output will depend on how efficient your system is–for example, if the orientation and tilt of the panels are at their optimum, and if all your system components are functioning as they should.
Right now, $10,000 is a reasonable amount of money to pay for a fully-installed 5kW solar system, depending on the quality of components. Solar system prices have been coming down steadily over the past few years (5kW systems used to be 2-4x their current price when Solar Choice first started assisting customers in 2009!), and seem to have settled down at around $2 per watt for a decent system, although it is possible to get systems for even less.
Whether the system is worth the price depends on 1) the space you have available to install it (there’s no use in putting solar panels up on a totally shaded roof) and 2) the quality of the components you use (there are some really dodgy parts out there on the market). For $10k you should be able to find a good quality system.
Solar Choice can help you to do so–we have a network of installers across the country, including Perth. Fill out the form to the right of this page to receive a free and instant Solar Quote Comparison from solar installers who operate in your area.