How much energy will my solar cells produce?

Average daily production for solar PV cells in Australia

by Solar Choice Staff on January 19, 2010

in Installation advice,What are the right solar PV cells for you?

The electrical energy output of solar cells is obviously one of the crucial things that you need to know when looking to install a solar system. Some solar energy companies are giving a wide variety of unreferenced numbers, so we have done our research and provide you with fully referenced and reliable information for you to consider.

What is energy output?

The power rating of your system (kilowatts, or kW) is a measure of how big your generation system is, not how much it will produce. This is analogous to a car engine, where the size of the engine gives you an indication of how powerful it is, but does not itself tell you how much petrol it will use, although the two are related.

Whether or not you have access to a solar feed-in tariff (keeping in mind that all of the feed-in tariffs in Australia have been closed to new applicants), you should know how many (kilowatt-hours or kWh) your solar system can be expected to produce. Knowing this number will help you calculate the revenues and savings you can expect to receive from your solar panels.

What factors influence solar system energy yields?

Of course the first factor influencing how much electrical energy you will generate is the size (otherwise known as rated power) of your solar installation. A large installation (higher kW’s) will produce more electrical energy (just as a bigger car engine has more grunt).

But if we move past the obvious impact of size, the amount of energy your solar cells produce depends on how much fuel they are fed (just as the amount of energy a car engine will produce depends on how much petrol you pump into it via your foot on the throttle). In the case of solar PV cells, their fuel is the sun.

The amount of sun your solar cells are exposed to (and hence how much energy they will generate) depends upon:

  • The orientation and tilt of your installation (which will be optimised by your installer)
  • Whether there are shadows cast over your cells (due to trees, buildings etc)
  • The number of daylight hours (governed by where you live)
  • The intensity of the sunlight (governed by where you live)
  • The number of hours of full sun vs cloudy days (governed by where you live)

If we exclude the first two factors, which you have a degree of control over, your location in Australia is the primary variable dictating how much energy your cells will produce. Hence, a 1.5kW system in Melbourne will typically not produce as much electrical energy over the year as the same system in Alice Springs.

The figures for average daily production

Fortunately, studies have been conducted that take all of the above factors into account and give the average energy output for solar cells in locations around Australia. These figures are given as:

The amount of electrical energy (kWh) a 1kW grid connected solar PV system will generate on an average day (kWh/kWp.day).

The most comprehensive source of this information is the Clean Energy Council (the body that the Australian Government charges with accrediting solar cells, inverters and installers):

Average-Daily-Production-of-Renewable-Energy

Average daily production of solar PV cells in Australia
p4, “Electricity from the sun: Solar PV systems explained” by the Clean Energy Council

Researching this topic will reveal other credible sources, with slightly different figures. The USA’s National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s (NREL) PVWatts tool also works for Australia (using Aussie meteorological data) and is a great resource for plugging in numbers and estimating a solar system’s output. We encourage you to check it out.

Some exploration will reveal that it’s not quite possible to put an exact unequivocal figure on the energy you will produce from you solar cells. Indeed, as Dr Anna Bruce, Lecturer at the School of Photovoltaic and Renewable Energy Engineering at the University of New South Wales informed us, different solar systems both rated at 1kW sitting side by side may produce different amounts of energy due to the quality and efficiency of their components, how the grid is functioning and how well your system deals with high temperatures. Her expert advice is that “4kWh/kWp.day in Sydney is certainly feasible if a system has optimal tilt and orientation and is running well”.

So the Clean Energy Council figures above act as a good guide and are one of the best and most comprehensive sources available, however due to the nature of solar, your system may produce more, or a little less than the figures given.

Kobad Bhavnagri
Solar Energy Consultant

© 2010 Solar Choice Pty Ltd

{ 2 comments… read them below or add one }

Rob November 25, 2015 at 1:02 pm

Im still stuffed with 18 panels 4.5 kw yet stll pay around %80 of what was my old bill.
I need an assessment to be done. Who do i get. the installer says all is ok.

Reply

Solar Choice Staff November 30, 2015 at 2:21 pm

Hi Rob,

The problem may be with your electricity consumption patterns. If your solar panels are generating energy but you’re not using any appliances at home, then you’re probably not going to see the sort of electricity bill reductions that you were expecting – even if your solar system is working perfectly well, as your installer says may be the case. You need to be consuming more electricity during the daylight hours. If the installer didn’t explain this to you clearly, then they did not fully relay to educate you about how solar works in Australia these days.

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